Ukraine - Russia Conflict
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Face à la Russie, l’atout de la résilience de l’économie européenne
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
Facing Russia, the strength of the European economy's resilience
It is true that the EU economy will face headwinds in the coming months, with high inflation and energy prices that could rise again. But the fact that the EU-27 has managed to contain the effects of the war on its economy is to be welcomed.
Nearly a year after the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, beyond the way the fighting is going, another issue is weighing on the outcome of the conflict: the resilience of the European economy to the consequences of the war. The ability to absorb this shock depends on two things: the solidity of the support that the 27 Member States give to Kiev and the acceptability of the efforts that are required of their citizens. In recent weeks, the gloomy outlook for the European economy has begun to dissipate.
Germany is now expecting slight growth in the first quarter, whereas just a few weeks ago most economists were predicting a recession. Inflation is easing, supply problems are easing, and industry has adapted to the energy crisis. The 200 billion euro "shield" brandished by Olaf Scholz's government to protect German companies now seems to be largely oversized.
After a delicate phase of soaring gas prices, which brought with it electricity prices, Europe was able to wean itself off Russian fossil fuels in record time. The mild winter, the effectiveness of sobriety measures and the diversification of supplies have calmed speculation and warded off the threat of shortages. At the beginning of 2023, natural gas and electricity prices are even lower than they were just before the conflict broke out.
Unemployment at its lowest
Employment is also holding up well. The eurozone has three million more jobs than before the Covid-19 pandemic, and unemployment is at an all-time low. France is no exception. Despite the slowdown in growth, business bankruptcies remain contained, and the unemployment rate, down by 10% over 2022 as a whole, has returned to its 2011 level. As for growth, it is expected to be slower, but there will be no decline in GDP or explosion in unemployment, even if the purchasing power of the French is under pressure.
This good news contradicts the narrative fed by Russian propaganda and taken up by certain opposition parties in France. Western sanctions and support for Ukraine were expected to precipitate a recession in the European economy. The pressure exerted by the discontent of public opinion would eventually shatter the unity of Europeans in the face of Russian aggression. This did not happen and every day proves that the price to be paid to defend our interests is not exorbitant and that the determination of the EU-27 is not about to waver.
It is true that the European economy will still face headwinds in the coming months, with high inflation and energy prices that could rise again as soon as China has turned the page on Covid. But in the meantime, the European Union (EU) is to be congratulated on its success in containing the effects of the war on its economy.
While Russia could not avoid recession in 2022, it is also doing better than expected. This may not last, as the effects of Western sanctions are gradual and cumulative. The more time passes, the more their impact will intensify. The war in Ukraine is not only about the ability of Europeans to support the Ukrainian war effort, it is also about the economic balance of power between the EU and Russia. The first to crack will lose an important battle.
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
Facing Russia, the strength of the European economy's resilience
It is true that the EU economy will face headwinds in the coming months, with high inflation and energy prices that could rise again. But the fact that the EU-27 has managed to contain the effects of the war on its economy is to be welcomed.
Nearly a year after the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, beyond the way the fighting is going, another issue is weighing on the outcome of the conflict: the resilience of the European economy to the consequences of the war. The ability to absorb this shock depends on two things: the solidity of the support that the 27 Member States give to Kiev and the acceptability of the efforts that are required of their citizens. In recent weeks, the gloomy outlook for the European economy has begun to dissipate.
Germany is now expecting slight growth in the first quarter, whereas just a few weeks ago most economists were predicting a recession. Inflation is easing, supply problems are easing, and industry has adapted to the energy crisis. The 200 billion euro "shield" brandished by Olaf Scholz's government to protect German companies now seems to be largely oversized.
After a delicate phase of soaring gas prices, which brought with it electricity prices, Europe was able to wean itself off Russian fossil fuels in record time. The mild winter, the effectiveness of sobriety measures and the diversification of supplies have calmed speculation and warded off the threat of shortages. At the beginning of 2023, natural gas and electricity prices are even lower than they were just before the conflict broke out.
Unemployment at its lowest
Employment is also holding up well. The eurozone has three million more jobs than before the Covid-19 pandemic, and unemployment is at an all-time low. France is no exception. Despite the slowdown in growth, business bankruptcies remain contained, and the unemployment rate, down by 10% over 2022 as a whole, has returned to its 2011 level. As for growth, it is expected to be slower, but there will be no decline in GDP or explosion in unemployment, even if the purchasing power of the French is under pressure.
This good news contradicts the narrative fed by Russian propaganda and taken up by certain opposition parties in France. Western sanctions and support for Ukraine were expected to precipitate a recession in the European economy. The pressure exerted by the discontent of public opinion would eventually shatter the unity of Europeans in the face of Russian aggression. This did not happen and every day proves that the price to be paid to defend our interests is not exorbitant and that the determination of the EU-27 is not about to waver.
It is true that the European economy will still face headwinds in the coming months, with high inflation and energy prices that could rise again as soon as China has turned the page on Covid. But in the meantime, the European Union (EU) is to be congratulated on its success in containing the effects of the war on its economy.
While Russia could not avoid recession in 2022, it is also doing better than expected. This may not last, as the effects of Western sanctions are gradual and cumulative. The more time passes, the more their impact will intensify. The war in Ukraine is not only about the ability of Europeans to support the Ukrainian war effort, it is also about the economic balance of power between the EU and Russia. The first to crack will lose an important battle.
They are just barely surviving. In a head to head battle both Su-35S and Su-30SM have humped them thoroughly.
Lol, no. Both Su-30SM and Su-35S would destroy any F-16 or F-15 or F-18 without too much problem.
Yes, if F-22, F-35, Rafale or Typhoon are involved then case becomes complicated. Yet, Flankers would trade 1:1 with other planes. Only the Raptor shall have superiority and that too by not too much.
With more Su-57, the Raptor advantage is neutralized too.
There haven't been such battles because neither side is able to fly close enough to the other at altitude to have such battles.
The Su-57 isn't even a stealth aircraft. As to Su-30/35s handling F-35s, don't make me laugh.
Having said that, if people don't stop striking they will be unemployed before long.
France Is Considering Transferring Fighter Aircraft To Ukraine
The Ukrainian Air Force says that talks also involve the possible transfer of advanced Rafale multirole fighter jets.
www.thedrive.com
Wrong. Multiple Ukrainian Flankers and Fulcrums are shot by Su-35S and Su-30 SM.
As per who? Western propagandists?
You won't laugh when Su-30SM and Su-35S start to shoot down your Fatties.
Rafale is the best Western aircraft to fight Flankers other than Raptor. Typhoon too. Teen series are seriously outgunned by a far margin.
Says who?
Says anyone who has f#cking eyes.
If they were even nearly capable of that, Russia would have gained air superiority and the war would have ended 11 months ago.
You read too many blogs and comic books.
Rafale vs s-300/400France Is Considering Transferring Fighter Aircraft To Ukraine
The Ukrainian Air Force says that talks also involve the possible transfer of advanced Rafale multirole fighter jets.
Let's see, How it goes?
Why is thumbnail showing Mirage?France Is Considering Transferring Fighter Aircraft To Ukraine
The Ukrainian Air Force says that talks also involve the possible transfer of advanced Rafale multirole fighter jets.
No worse than it is going right now for certain. Possibly quite well for Rafale.
Answer to the Cuban missile crisis analogy I found:
Mirage 2000Cs are also being considered if you read it.
"2. Cuba was not invaded or annexed with tens of thousands dead."
Bay of pigs......
Do you remember that?
keep spinnin' Shit as usual.
Bay of pigs......
Do you remember that?
keep spinnin' Shit as usual.
Wasn't a full out invasion, if it had been full-out it would have succeeded very easily. The US only provided very limited air and naval support, the invasion force was comprised of Cuban exiles. Russia was doing more than that even before Feb 2022. Its immediate response to protests forcing Yanukovych out was the invasion of Crimea and 12,000 ground troops, 4,000 volunteers, Wagner and equipment in the Donbass.
Brigade 2506 - Wikipedia
The point still stands, no nuclear missiles placed in Ukraine (nor were there plans to), no annexation, no tens of thousands dead. Cuba allowed to exist as a Russian c0ck-sniffing shithole. In summary, a far greater provocation, with a much less violent response.
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Wrong Again.
Jupiter Missiles( Nuclear capable) were placed in Turkey, Italy.
When USSR Tried to Negotiate with US on this, US told USSR to bugger off.
When Bay of pigs failed, USSR grabbed that opportunity to place missiles in CUBA.
Since when is 1950s Turkey 2014 Ukraine?
Like I said, no missiles were placed in Ukraine, nor were there plans to.And let's not pretend that the Soviets didn't back Castro's coup either, and the Yugoslavian SFR for that matter. So how is the US backing Cuban exiles to undo it any different?