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What will be situation if Pakistan disintegrates?

Cpec is no more in Baluchistan front.
Chinese will have to work with all the resulting countries.

India can have some leverage.

Pakistan will be looking at losing PoJK or Pakistan..

Surely when PoJK is taken, Baluchistan will have maximum chances..

Corner plot manager s can plan on getting corner ( resource rich) countries. .
 
How does our artillery compare to theirs today ?

Our artillery is not what we would have liked it to be.
In rocket artillery, thanks to Pinaka production, Smerch acquisition and repair/refurbish program for BM21 fleet, we pretty much out gun them by big margin.

They have advantages in having more mobile artillery systems than us. We are just now starting to get the K9. Maybe have 15 units right now. Their concentration of strike groups in their punjab will have 450+ pieces of SPH. 155mm M109 guns and 203mm M110 guns.

In towed guns area, they would have 300-350 155mm guns. We have around 500-550 guns.

In lower caliber, our field guns of 105 mm out range their all guns from 105mm, to 122mm and 130mm actually. And we have a lot of them.

This is just a rough pic of situation.
Rest for any details @Milspec
 
"Longewala" from Other Forum makes an excellent point :

"Apologies somewhat off topic but one thing that always made me nervous was artillery... In everything else we are superior to the Napaks 2-1 or more, but thanks to Congi scum and 30 years of under investment they actually had more 155mm pieces and SP than we have.

So it is a pleasant surprise to see us actually ourgunning them repeatedly despite the large calibre gap... which I presume is due to
1. Better, and home developed WLRs more suitable for mountains (which shows the benefit of R&D and army - scientists collaboration)
2. Better trained and professional artillery corps
3. Having money to buy ammo in the first place
4. Better maintained guns
5. Having more numbers of well directed and standardised guns, even if 105mm,

None of which reflects any credit on our napaki mughals btw"

I remember @Milspec writing about Pakistani artillery some very detailed long posts with colourful graphs and everything. Do those calculations still hold ? If so, how come we are outgunning them now ? Doesn't the addition of Dhanush and BMCS upset the previous equations ?

Although Pakistanis have more 155mm artillery compared to us, their guns have just half the range.

Their best gun with the most range is a Chinese copy of the Russian M-46, which is 130mm. And we also have these guns, but we have upgraded about 200 of these guns to 155mm and are in the process of upgrading 300 more, the range is about 30% more. And this is not even close to being our best gun.

The problem with our artillery is we have a lot of smaller 105mm and 122mm guns that are obsolete and need replacement. But even these provide some level of equivalency with Pakistan.

Our new and upcoming ATAGS, Dhanush, Atmos, M777 and K9, along with whatever MGS we choose soon, are simply too much for Pakistan to deal with.

So our artillery situation is not as bad as it's made out to be. We have significant superiority over Pakistan here.
 
Taking over complete POK is Not a Joke or A Cakewalk

How many casualties are we willing to accept

Will China Sit Back and Quietly watch it happen

@Falcon says 7 days by going through the plains or 14 days by going over mountains.

I doubt China will do anything to stop that. They have their own problems. And if India takes over and gives them assurances that most of CPEC will be safe, then it works in China's favour. The Chinese have more interest in gaining India as a market for BRI than propping up Pakistan.
 
In lower caliber, our field guns of 105 mm out range their all guns from 105mm, to 122mm and 130mm actually.
The 105 mm Indian Field Gun(IFG) ? That tiny little thing is out gunning 130 mm ? How ?
Our new and upcoming ATAGS, Dhanush, Atmos, M777 and K9, along with whatever MGS we choose soon, are simply too much for Pakistan to deal with.
You still sure about the ATMOS being purchased ?
The advantage that the ATAGS brings will be eroded away if they don't come in time, that's what I fear. The Army's non-stop trials and delays in placing orders might work against them. Weren't 40 ATAGS ordered ? Anything new on that ?
We are going to need a lot more of those K9s to make up for our poor numbers in tracked SPHs. Any word on additional unit orders ? Have the K9s seen some action in the ongoing cross-border artillery fires ? Seemed like the perfect opportunity to try out new gear.
 
@Falcon says 7 days by going through the plains or 14 days by going over mountains.

I doubt China will do anything to stop that. They have their own problems. And if India takes over and gives them assurances that most of CPEC will be safe, then it works in China's favour. The Chinese have more interest in gaining India as a market for BRI than propping up Pakistan.

On the Other side of the LOC , the Terrain is still mountainous

This Mountainous Terrain is the Biggest obstacle for pushing and moving inside PoK

All Civilians are armed with AK 47s

Right now we are just pushing them back
From the LOC because a large number of
Fidayeens are being prepared to attack our posts

Guess you smoked a lot of pot, that is why you seem so relaxed. Why should we even consider China, when making a move as huge a retaking Pok ? My answer is in my earlier post. Gaming the threat and being prepared for the Chinese threat, will only help us, and it is certainly not shivering...
And, China certainly takes into account the possibility of US interference in any future war against Taiwan. US is certainly a part of China's Taiwan policy....

Recently when US Iran Tensions were
Flaring up , A Russian analyst said that
Once US Iran war breaks out , China will
Immediately attack Taiwan

If we really want to hurt Pakistan the Best
Terrain is the 198 Km Jammu border

Full of kinks and bends
Grab territory , Kill their soldiers

According to Pakistan ,this is still Working Boundary not IB
 
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Let me throw up a question for you all, Can we still have a CSD kind of game?
Think over all you guys and let us chat on this at 1900hrs. Please comment.

The problem for me is we shouldn't take any major armed action until such time that we are fully prepared for full scale war.

As of this moment, I do not know if we are fully ready to take on Pakistan by keeping the war short and our casualties to a minimum, while also being able to prevent the Pakistanis from successfully attacking Indian cities with nuclear weapons.

If we are ready on this front, then taking back PoJK using armed action should be very high on the agenda. Or else we risk repeating the Pakistani failure in 1965 when we decided to open up the international border to war. The Pakistanis could end up doing the same thing to us.

Anyway, I suppose IA is also prioritising finishing up with their restructuring plan before they plan to do anything. We should have all the IBGs we need for the Pakistani front in the next 2 years.
 
You still sure about the ATMOS being purchased ?

My bad. I meant to say ATHOS, not ATMOS. ATHOS won a tender to supply 1580 guns, but 1180 guns will be ATAGS instead. So 400 guns from here. Funnily enough the 52cal ATHOS is cheaper than the 45cal Dhanush.

I think the tender should be scrapped. We no longer have any need to import artillery of this class anymore.

The advantage that the ATAGS brings will be eroded away if they don't come in time, that's what I fear. The Army's non-stop trials and delays in placing orders might work against them. Weren't 40 ATAGS ordered ? Anything new on that ?

Nothing new here. 150 were cleared, and first lot is 40 guns.

We are going to need a lot more of those K9s to make up for our poor numbers in tracked SPHs. Any word on additional unit orders ? Have the K9s seen some action in the ongoing cross-border artillery fires ? Seemed like the perfect opportunity to try out new gear.

I agree, we need more. I think the plan is to buy 18 regiments worth.

And no, no action seen.
 
Let me throw up a question for you all, Can we still have a CSD kind of game?
Think over all you guys and let us chat on this at 1900hrs. Please comment.

A big chunk of Indian muslims still believe in Pakistan as the real messiah of the sub-continent. They act and behave in the same way we have seen Niazi and Fawad spit venom in recent days.

It would be best in the interest of India to allow Pakistan grow into infighting and civil war like Syria. That is when this percentage of muslims in India will realize how power in hands of few muslims within Pakistan is used to kill their own likes. On the other hand Modi should promote UCC and put overall prosperity of Indians in top gear.

This psychological understanding when understood by muslims in India, will make them realize the prosperous environment in which they live and thrive. It would force them to change their behavior and become responsible citizens. Modi should also ensure that illiteracy will ensure poverty and literacy and education will lead to prosperity. This way he can bring most muslims in India in mainstream.

As far as Pakistan is concerned, whichever way we adopt, through internal civil war or an aggression by India, both will act as CSD for them. The former though is more gainful for India. And POJK will for sure be recovered.
 
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