If you're looking for excuses to not go out there and secure our interests, I'm sure you'll find many.
First of all, what ground is there for China to intervene in PoK in a military capacity? Do they own or administer that territory? No. Would we be attacking any declared Chinese presence by going into PoK? No, whatever presence they might already have is covert & deniable. Do they even lay claim to that territory? No.
There is no way China can sell an intervention in PoK at the international stage. China isn't that stupid. Pakistan has no legal claim to the region and China knows that. Which is the reason they've been pressurizing the Pak government to push for recognition of the people of this region as Pak citizens (that's right, before this, citizens of Gilgit-Baltistan were never recognized as citizens of Pakistan or given any rights) and sooner than later, they will push Pak to the negotiation table with India and they will try to legitimize the LoC as the new permanent IB, to get India to relinquish any claim on G-B, and in turn they will make Pakistan hand over the sliver of land that is called Azad Kashmir to India.
That's the Chinese end-game here.
And I'm afraid if a future leader of India would be stupid enough to agree to these terms and relinquish claim on G-B.
Not even close. Why? Because as I said, fighting across the IB is not the same as fighting across a porous LoC. And even if Pakistan is fool enough to use its own sovereign territory to launch terrorist infiltrators, let them. That'll only get them into deeper trouble at the international stage, the dynamics of fighting the insurgency won't change for us...but the strategic objectives of cutting off the link between Pak and China will be met. We would have destroyed CPEC and crippled a very important portion of BRI/OBOR.
To me, that is enough reason to take PoK.
As of Afghan Taliban, they are not even a threat worth being afraid of. The reasons why we're unable to escalate the fighting across LoC at will won't stay true when fighting Taliban presence at border. We will be free to bring airpower to bear, free to bring high-calibre artillery to bear, free to conduct cross-border raids at will (Afghan govt and ANA will support us). Taliban or similar force are a threat to reckon when fighting a long, drawn-out Guerrilla war when they can choose the time & place to strike. As of a force for frontal combat (which is what they'll be forced into if they try to infiltrate across border), they are fish in a barrel.
If you are fearful of doing what's necessary for securing our national interest because of a bunch of tribesmen with AKs, congratulations, Pakistan has already won.
Dear, you don't have to work on giving a reason for radical Islamist forces to hate you.
Breaking news: They hate you already.
And what would be your end-game?
China has also acquired S-400...how long do you think it will be before they make copies of it and sell it to Pakistan? They already made copies of S-300 and Pakistan is intent on acquiring them.
It will because our leaders will believe that the if they launch a massed invasion force into PoK, Pakistan will fire nukes on us.
Leaders don't know technicalities and they don't need to. But the thing is, the decisions they need to make do not shape the tactical battlefield, but the strategic level. The fact that Pak has a second-strike capability will debilitate any decision-maker's ability to make the call for launching hostilities.
Tactical advantages be damned.
They will ask the top brass a simple question: is there a chance that their missiles will get through? And unless we allow the brass to lie to their face, they will have to say yes. Kaam hogaya. They will think taking PoK is not worth the risk, and roll back.
That's exactly what's happening now and exactly what will happen in mid-2020s or 2030s.
1) Surgical strikes changed the civilian thinking, not the strategic level's thought-process.
2) Nukes/TNWs were always a bluff. Surgical strikes was not the first time Special Forces were used in a cross-LoC capacity. In fact they do that routinely to avenge killings/beheadings.
3) None of the ground realities have changed. The launch pads are back up, the cross-LoC infiltration hasn't stopped, nor has Pak's attitude toward us.
So again I ask, other than being effective propaganda to feed to the public (and I'm not saying that's unimportant, in fact that is crucial), what was the strategic consequence of the Surgical strikes? Don't get me wrong, I commend Modi for doing what he did (and ensuring what was done was made known to the public), but I'm saying that things like these are too little & too late.
We can keep going back and forth on this, but it feels like a genuine impasse; so I'm just going to drop it at this point. Perhaps we'll end up discussing this topic again in a few years, depending on what happens in the future.