Line of Actual Control (LAC) : India & Tibet Border Updates

I don't think they are seeking a border settlement. They don't need it. It is the biggest tool in their inventory to undermine us whenever they want. For me it was a military coercion to gain
diplo-economic concessions from the starting. But with this Galwan valley incident they have messed it badly.

Okay.
 
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Gotta correct this... ;)

Nah. I stand by my words. Am very specifically speaking of the time when the CO was felled. And in immediate aftermath.

I did post a tweet clearly - the unit reserves the right to avenge.

I also posted 'Radio Silence' to which weird inferences have been drawn. It was merely to indicate that your will not be getting any actual picture henceforth. Rumors, innuendos and absolute fake news will now rule the roost.

IA of 2020 is not IA in immediate aftermath of 1962.
 
I hope that this is not true, but past history makes us believe that this is the truth.

Why will the world believe the versions that GoI and the armed forces put out post 27 Feb? Better still, why should we believe it? Why shouldn't Pakistanis rejoice? Why shouldn't Nepal continue do what it has done? Why not Sri Lanka? What happens once Sheikh Hasina is out of power?

You had mentioned in PDF that Pakistani armed forces' repeated proclamations that Modi is a nut made them believe in their own myth. There seems to be no difference between them and us.

If the present political dispensation cannot fight against the Chinese then they should have simply kept quiet.

Doing the same political $h!t that other parties did, that too in booster doses, may only work within our borders (which have themselves proved to be nebulous).

But i still hope that we get our act together and respond as a nation. War, in modern times, is not the only option. Intent and actions to work on our weaknesses is the need of the hour.


That is why some of us have taken on the task of bursting our own sides' bubbles.
 
That is Chinese modus operandi something I consistently point out. But for us, war is also an option of last resort. They are trying to seek a settlement with India over borders. That I am dead sure about.

China seeks no settlement. They want to rule the world. They want to change status quo in South China Sea. They want to change the status quo with respect to Taiwan and they want to change the status quo on its borders with India. We must stand up for ourselves or they will be making our lives miserable at the land borders and also in the sea in the future.
 
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A good read on Chinese calculations and predispositions.

cc @Falcon @S. A. T. A @jetray @Saaho @Sulla84 @randomradio @DivineHeretic @_Anonymous_ and all

(I forgot who I was arguing about Chinese intentions fighting for 'barren' land. which the writer is making the case)

I avoid reading general views. It actually confuses me and throws me off track - when I want to read a situation.

I don't watch Television or read newspaper on this issue. Yesterday was listening to Rajdeep Sardesai after a real long time to see why he was worked up … it was amazing :)
 
Not sure why a well determined enemy who came well prepared for a WAR to humiliate us in front of the world and our neighbors chose to say we don't have any hostages despite India media reporting it ? Will acknowledging the fact they they IA men as hostages not help them in achieving their goal of humiliating us further ? . There can only be two reason for Chinese to do this , either they are in a f@cked up situation or we gave them what they want . Listening to you i am having some hope but @Falcon makes me think negative , dont know what to believe sir .........just like every indians i am too going the same helplessness what i went through during previous governments .


Neither, I am afraid - no screw ups, nothing given.

I really can not make people become wise to Chinese ways of thinking and negotiations. I am dead sure of what they are upto.

I also remain a pragmatist......
????
What is there? Can not access
Lack of overt response or No Response? I think we must start calling out both political and armed institution equally now.


Overt. Very sure.
 
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We HAD SURROUNDED 250 OF THE PLA SOLDIERS
Chinese did not release our 10 men because they want peace

They could not afford to lose 250 of theirs


A large dose of salt advised.
Then demand and deploy SFF types or they have also lost their valor, get Vietnam into confidence and create SFF2.0 ? There at least need to be some sort of info at your disposal to outmaneuver the adversary beforehand. Every time it is the same story. Because there is an agreement or order that SFF won't operate without special permission. I don't understand who comes with such ridiculous paragraphs, Su-30 can't fire due to RoE, IA can't press trigger due to SOP /Agreement signed by some idiot neta. SFF can't operate. Who is going to build pressure on GOI to ask for it?

DEMOCRACY.

CIVIL LEADERSHIP.
 
What we got from this discussion that we got our soldiers back..But what cost?

Did we gave them up to finger 4 or we kept something beneficial for bergaining??

Can anyone cite me evidence of Indian forces patrolling to Finger 8?

And .... recall the land where the fight took place between ITBP and PLA. That is now occupied by PLA.

Your guess here is as good as mine.
For better or worse I'm confused?

Way better.

But pragmatically, can India fight a war with China?

Militarily we can take them on …. and if we are willing to pay the price, take the war into Tibet. The price will be huge, too huge. Is it worth fighting now? Or is it worth making a USSR redux for them?
 
Neither, I am afraid - no screw ups, nothing given.

I really can not make people become wise to Chinese ways of thinking and negotiations. I am dead sure of what they are upto.

I also remain a pragmatist......

????
What is there? Can not access



Overt. Very sure.
Gen V.K.Singh has just released a statement that we've been holding Chinese PoWs too which we duly exchanged for our own a few days ago. Recent press reports indicate that the babuas took a heavy toll on the Chinese with savage attacks teaming up with the Ghataks. Death tolls range between 5-80 depending on whom you believe. Is it your contention that we didn't kill any or we didn't take any Chinese PoWs?

Coz if the latter is true, then the Chinese certainly didn't release our PoWs out of the goodness of their hearts. There had to be some quid pro quo which given the events of the past few days points out to our acquiescing to their control over erstwhile grey zones across the LAC or even our own perceived territory.
 
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Nah. I stand by my words. Am very specifically speaking of the time when the CO was felled. And in immediate aftermath.

So it wasn't the same skirmish? I thought after the first attack, they retreated, regrouped and attacked in greater strength after some time, with sharp weapons. So, the same people, roughly the same time?

Of course there were rumours going around that other places were also attacked. No clue about that. I feel it's unlikely.

My guess is it was the same people, same place, sharp weapons and when the PLA least expected it.

I also posted 'Radio Silence' to which weird inferences have been drawn.

Huh? Where?

It was merely to indicate that your will not be getting any actual picture henceforth. Rumors, innuendos and absolute fake news will now rule the roost.

There's so much stuff floating around that it's impossible to tell what actually happened.

IA of 2020 is not IA in immediate aftermath of 1962.

That's true. But is the PLA of 2020 the same as the ones from 1962?
 
The Bloody China-India Border Fight Is a Lot Like the Last One

Chinese and Indian troops killing each other in the thin air of the Himalayas. America torn by violent confrontations between police and protesters. Rumors of leadership turmoil in Beijing. It’s not 2020. It’s 1967.

The last time there was an incident as deadly as Monday’s along the China-India border, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi were both teenagers. In 1967, in the Himalayas far to the southeast of the location of the present violence, several deadly encounters between the world’s two most populous countries left dozens of Indians and Chinese dead. Coming only five years after their 1962 war, and with China’s Cultural Revolution at its most chaotic point, many feared the conflict could escalate regionally.

After its loss to China in 1962, India initiated an extensive military expansion. The total size of the Indian military doubled. Intelligence agencies took note. The CIA argued in August 1967 that the Indian military could be expected to repulse a Chinese attack without relinquishing substantial territory.

At the time, the area in which the skirmishes took place, Sikkim, was a semi-independent kingdom and protectorate of India. The Chinese Communist Party government encouraged Sikkim’s population to break from India decisively and declare independence. (Eventually, in 1975, it did the opposite and voted in a referendum to join India as a state.)

As is the case this year, the conflict in 1967 began with a gradual increase in nonmilitary activities. This year, an Indian road project led to Chinese attempts to harry work crews. In 1967, a series of minor building projects near the mountain pass at Nathu La (also known as Naku La), such as new loudspeakers, a trench, and a small wire fence, led to minor incidents of pushing, shoving, and punching between soldiers on either side of the line that serves as the functional border, known as the Line of Actual Control.

On Sept. 9, 1967, Beijing’s People’s Daily ran a story claiming that Indian soldiers had crossed the border and attacked Chinese soldiers, who fought them until they retreated. No other source I have seen lists fighting around that time. Whether the story was a pretext for aggression or not, it was on Sept. 11, 1967, that the major flash point occurred. By most accounts, as Indian soldiers were replacing older fencing with a barbed wire fence, Chinese soldiers argued with them and then opened fire from bunkers and nearby fortified positions. Artillery hit the positions, and many Indian soldiers fled—some of whom were later convicted of desertion.

That very same day that Chinese forces attacked, the People’s Daily decried a supposed invasion of Chinese territory, a propaganda technique that China would repeat in subsequent conflicts, such as its 1979 invasion of Vietnam. For three straight days, Indian and Chinese positions exchanged artillery, mortar, and machine-gun fire.
For three straight days, Indian and Chinese positions exchanged artillery, mortar, and machine-gun fire.
Although the death tolls offered by each side are totally inconsistent—China later claimed 36 of its soldiers were killed or wounded, while one Indian estimate approximated the number around 400—at least dozens were killed on both sides. More Chinese fortifications were destroyed, however, because the Indian artillery was better located tactically on the high ground of the pass—which, if Indian figures are correct, may explain why the Chinese came off worse. So too could the logistical and leadership tumult inside a Chinese military already roiled by the political attacks of the Cultural Revolution.


As the fighting continued and headlines blared, then-Deputy Indian Prime Minister Morarji Desai was in the United States on a scheduled visit. While he was there, he was interviewed on the Today show and asked repeatedly about the conflict. He also conversed with American officials about their issues with China. Finally, as Desai was heading home, a cease-fire was reached via high-level diplomacy.

Two weeks later, however, another incident broke the fragile calm. Indian and Chinese soldiers again began fighting over Chinese troops’ advance into a neighboring patch of borderland known as Chola. Wielding bayonets and knives, several soldiers on both sides were gored and even beheaded in the brawl. A firefight ensued that lasted into the next day, when Chinese troops retreated. The last deadly fight between China and India until this week’s occurred in 1975 when Chinese troops fought an Indian patrol near the border of the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh in another incident whose details are disputed by both sides.

That similar incidents are still occurring more than half a century later speaks to the broader interests of national prestige and the strategic position of the Himalayas, which are the world’s geographical apex, the source of nearly all of the region’s major rivers, and a place of cultural confluence. Despite the violence, however, both governments continue to leave themselves options for de-escalation. Chinese media have downplayed the recent incidents. Similarly, in 1967, only one story on the topic made the front page of the People’s Daily.

Another similarity to the 1967 conflict is that due to the remote locations of the conflict zones, there are no reporters, or even civilian observers, present. A review of press from 1967 reveals how dependent the reporting was on government statements. That is true so far this year as well. War reporters and foreign-policy analysts are once again left parsing government statements, nationalistic press reports of dubious origin, and outright propaganda to try to understand what exactly happened. This leaves considerable room for the governments to manipulate impressions domestically and internationally.

While India’s greater press freedom may lend the country’s press accounts greater weight, the physical absence of anyone not directly affiliated with the governments means all accounts should be treated with a degree of skepticism, especially given the jingoistic turn of much of Indian media in recent years. Governments often try to manipulate perceptions of conflicts, but the degree to which it is possible is greater under these circumstances. Even in recent conflicts, such as the Syrian civil war, when the Assad regime sought to cover up atrocities, the mere presence of civilians with cameras meant that much of the truth eventually reached the world. China did not offer casualty figures for the 1967 border conflict until the 1990s. Some details about the 1967 incidents remain unclear. It is possible that will be another similarity between 1967 and today. Anyone asserting with confidence that they know the exact course of events or attitude of the leadership in each country should be treated skeptically.

Anyone asserting with confidence that they know the exact course of events or attitude of the leadership in each country should be treated skeptically.


The most major difference between the 1967 fighting and today is that, by all accounts, no firearms or artillery were used in Tuesday’s killings, a norm that developed over the intervening years. Today, border patrols go unarmed precisely to avoid such escalation. The fact that such a norm arose was viewed by many observers as an important stabilizing influence to prevent future escalation. However, if that norm is viewed by either side as an opportunity to advance its interests without risking all-out war, and then de-escalate after achieving its goals, it encourages risk-taking.

Reasonable people may justly hope that the fighting goes no further. However, even if the incidents do not escalate into a broader conflict, the Ussuri River clashes between China and the Soviet Union in 1969 were of similarly minor scope. And yet, they had vast implications for the structure of the international system, locking in China’s split from the Soviets for decades. In 1967, India was a member of the nonaligned movement. In recent years, it has deftly maintained cordial relations with both the United States and China during their growing rivalry. Whether it will maintain such a position indefinitely after its soldiers’ blood has been spilled is less certain.
 
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Gen V.K.Singh has just released a statement that we've been holding Chinese PoWs too which we duly exchanged for our own a few days ago. Recent press reports indicate that the babuas took a heavy toll on the Chinese with savage attacks teaming up with the Ghataks. Death tolls range from 5-80 depending on whom you believe. Is it your contention that we didn't kill any or we didn't have take any Chinese PoWs?

Coz if the latter is true, then the Chinese certainly didn't release our PoWs out of the goodness of their hearts. There had to be some quid pro quo which given the events of the past few days points out to our acquiescing to their control over erstwhile grey zones across the LAC or even our own perceived territory.


Let me try and put things out as much clearly as I possibly can, with usual constraints.

1. CO and party took a bad hit.
2. Babuas exacted a toll & then some.
3. Both sides got few prisoners in hands. Exchange took place. Rumors remain of Indians being publicly humiliated when Maj Gen meet took place. I am not too bothered by that. Shit happens. We are also not very clean.
4. Chinese occupied peaks. We returned favour.
5. Certain areas were 'lost' as ITBP was primarily responsible for the lake area. We are all aware of the situation there. Maybe the HM should answer that.
6. No Patrols went to Finger 8. Sirijap has a relatively large Chinese base. You think Chinese would allow your troops to traverse through there?
 
Militarily we can take them on …. and if we are willing to pay the price, take the war into Tibet. The price will be huge, too huge. Is it worth fighting now? Or is it worth making a USSR redux for them?
China will never fall for USSR redux. They are way past that and effectively countered and learnt their way around it. I would call you delusional like countless experts around the world if you think that's remotely possible.

Every country has its own way of raise and fall, so does china but it will not implode or be terminated like nazi Germany of USSR.
 
Can anyone cite me evidence of Indian forces patrolling to Finger 8?

And .... recall the land where the fight took place between ITBP and PLA. That is now occupied by PLA.

Your guess here is as good as mine.


Way better.

But pragmatically, can India fight a war with China?

Militarily we can take them on …. and if we are willing to pay the price, take the war into Tibet. The price will be huge, too huge. Is it worth fighting now? Or is it worth making a USSR redux for them?
Pls post regarding casualties in both sides..
 
Are we a step late. ?

When we using stoned and sticks, did Chinese use iron rods..?

When we were using rods, they moved on to spiked rods?

This is how I felt when news broke out.

--_------------

I don't feel it's over yet.


We are waiting for the requisite time to act.

With Taiwan, Hongkong, scs.. Indo Pacific..

Economic Sanctions for corona..

Many things are rolling around..

And our own Corona Is yet to reach the peak...

I think we ll have to wait 3 - 6 months.

Modi wouldn't want to lose on the military affairs.
 
Ea84iiEUYAA4dMl
 
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So it wasn't the same skirmish? I thought after the first attack, they retreated, regrouped and attacked in greater strength after some time, with sharp weapons. So, the same people, roughly the same time?

Of course there were rumours going around that other places were also attacked. No clue about that. I feel it's unlikely.

My guess is it was the same people, same place, sharp weapons and when the PLA least expected it.

They got hit hard. They were avenged.



Huh? Where?

Twitter.



There's so much stuff floating around that it's impossible to tell what actually happened.
That's true. But is the PLA of 2020 the same as the ones from 1962?

Yes. That is why have stopped trying to rebut all. Peace of mind :)

Nope. They evolved too.