Line of Actual Control (LAC) : India & Tibet Border Updates

To those who are saying India will NOT use SRBM/IRBM/ICBM etc in retaliation to Chinese attacks on population centres because it may invite a Chinese nuclear response, you all are living in La la land, if that's how it would have been, China would have chewed us raw long back. India WILL actually launch those missiles along with needling PoK(not so sure about PoK though). India will start playing the game of brinkmanship. First India will threaten and if it doesn't work a couple of missiles will actually be fired. And if push really comes to shove India can use its satellite launchers. I would be surprised if India doesn't have interoperability built-in for its missiles with the satellite launchers as a measure of a last-ditch effort.
China is not Pakistan, it's not going to risk a single major city for a petty border dispute or to teach India a lesson. It has to live another day to survive US onslaught so does India to be able to defend itself against Pak!
INMHO the easiest situation for India to be in is a 2 front situation as compared to be just up against China as a 2 front situation provides more legitimacy to the possibility of Indian use of nukes and allows more room for brinkmanship!
 
To those who are saying India will NOT use SRBM/IRBM/ICBM etc in retaliation to Chinese attacks on population centres because it may invite a Chinese nuclear response, you all are living in La la land, if that's how it would have been, China would have chewed us raw long back. India WILL actually launch those missiles along with needling PoK(not so sure about PoK though). India will start playing the game of brinkmanship. First India will threaten and if it doesn't work a couple of missiles will actually be fired. And if push really comes to shove India can use its satellite launchers. I would be surprised if India doesn't have interoperability built-in for its missiles with the satellite launchers as a measure of a last-ditch effort.
China is not Pakistan, it's not going to risk a single major city for a petty border dispute or to teach India a lesson. It has to live another day to survive US onslaught so does India to be able to defend itself against Pak!
INMHO the easiest situation for India to be in is a 2 front situation as compared to be just up against China as a 2 front situation provides more legitimacy to the possibility of Indian use of nukes and allows more room for brinkmanship!

Two Front.Situation will help us Finish Pakistan once and for all
 
Chinese are too smart to get sucked into a trap. India is not their objective. They see India as a hurdle to cross in their bid to challenge the US.

China will never commit to even a limited fight with India in these times, simply because there is little to gain and a LOT to lose. Terrain, Geography, Other issues mean China will not be able to bring in its full weight into the fight. Which helps India since it can not take its eyes of Pakistan.

Case 1 - Chinese army achieves a victory, result is some areas gained in Ladakh / Sikkim. Good for propaganda but low economic value. World powers will intervene and China will have to give up some gains.

Case 2 - Stalemate. It will be a PR disaster for the PLA and its dreams of facing the US.

Case 3 - Indians get a victory. Disaster for China as a whole. Vietnam, Philippines, Taiwan, Japan will get emboldened. The myth of the PLA will be done away with for good and might lead to significant churn in the party leadership.

Too much risk for marginal gain.
Humiliating India once again will be no small feat, specially when they can hold on to additional territory due to their better connectivity and infrastructure. It will break the morale of Japan, Vietnam and other Asian countries resisting China.
 
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Humiliating India once again will be no small feat, specially when they can hold on to additional territory due to their better connectivity and infrastructure. It will break the morale of Japan, Vietnam and other Asian countries resisting China.

Question is can they?

Lots of factors come in. If they keep the action local, IA will match them or even better them. If they widen the conflict, it has the risk of spiraling out of hand with external intervention and a hostile India on international forums.

Small actions at multiple places? IA can still punch above its weight. Unless China brings its full weight on the Indian border there is not much it can do and that has its own risks. Perversely its like 27Feb but in reverse.
 
Question is can they?

Lots of factors come in. If they keep the action local, IA will match them or even better them. If they widen the conflict, it has the risk of spiraling out of hand with external intervention and a hostile India on international forums.

Small actions at multiple places? IA can still punch above its weight. Unless China brings its full weight on the Indian border there is not much it can do and that has its own risks. Perversely its like 27Feb but in reverse.
I believe they can. But the main question is at what cost? A humiliated India as a neighbor will be a disaster to Chinese ambition of becoming the sole power in the region.
IA can hold off the Chinese for a while but ultimately they will break through our defences specially when they are supported by Pakistani forces in the west, due to numerical and technological superiority and bigger economic might to support long drawn war. I’m not including any support by other countries here for the simplicity.
 
Two Front.Situation will help us Finish Pakistan once and for all
Its not as eay as many people thinks if you arr serious about taking back pok. We have Kargil war example, how many months we have taken to take back few peaks? We are freely flying our aircrafts over those peaks without much intervention from PAF & PA. Now imagine how much time it will take for us for an invasion on pok.
 
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I believe they can. But the main question is at what cost? A humiliated India as a neighbor will be a disaster to Chinese ambition of becoming the sole power in the region.

From my experience dealing with the Chinese, I'd hazard a guess. Unless there is a grave provocation from our side the Chinese will rely on coercion. As far as coercion goes any dirty trick is an option.
 
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To those who are saying India will NOT use SRBM/IRBM/ICBM etc in retaliation to Chinese attacks on population centres because it may invite a Chinese nuclear response, you all are living in La la land, if that's how it would have been, China would have chewed us raw long back. India WILL actually launch those missiles along with needling PoK(not so sure about PoK though). India will start playing the game of brinkmanship. First India will threaten and if it doesn't work a couple of missiles will actually be fired. And if push really comes to shove India can use its satellite launchers. I would be surprised if India doesn't have interoperability built-in for its missiles with the satellite launchers as a measure of a last-ditch effort.
China is not Pakistan, it's not going to risk a single major city for a petty border dispute or to teach India a lesson. It has to live another day to survive US onslaught so does India to be able to defend itself against Pak!
INMHO the easiest situation for India to be in is a 2 front situation as compared to be just up against China as a 2 front situation provides more legitimacy to the possibility of Indian use of nukes and allows more room for brinkmanship!
Dude we built our nukes specially to fry manchurian. Kaaliyas in the west don’t need nukes.
 
I believe they can. But the main question is at what cost? A humiliated India as a neighbor will be a disaster to Chinese ambition of becoming the sole power in the region.
A humiliated India will suit China just fine.. The humiliation of 1962 hobbled Indian infrastructure development along LAC for 50 years... and without Infrastructure development you always leave the door open for China, to humiliate India at a low cost... And this ability to humiliate India at low cost, gives China great leverage. ..
 
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From my experience dealing with the Chinese, I'd hazard a guess. Unless there is a grave provocation from our side the Chinese will rely on coercion. As far as coercion goes any dirty trick is an option.
They are playing the game of who winks first. They are simply testing our resolve.
Like @BlackOpsIndia said we should handover the territory they are demanding and buy peace.