Don't ask me proof , my assumption is there won't be further order for Rafale from us. Reason is, asper @randomnradio the mmrca2 delivery time line will be 2026-28, by that time MK2 will be matured or atleast in the last lap of development. We know how much HAL's pressure on IAF & MOD will be for more MK2s then. Also our politicians doesn't even know the difference between apples and oranges when comes to defence. They don't see any difference between Mk2 & Rafale .
Also there is high probability that TEDBF maturity will be achieved by 2028-30 time frame Harshvardhan Thakur has already tweeted that TEDBF doesn't require any modifications for land based operations.
These people will not allow for more rafales, they will not say anything about the capabilities rafales have .
Finally due to the failure of current government in tackling the covid pandemic second wave,there is chance for BJP losing election in 2024, then it's definitely sayanora for more Rafales with IAF, Raga's vengeance on Rafale is so high , just like VP Singh's vengeance on RAW. We all know how RAW's operations were destroyed by home after coming to power
Also recently @Picdelamirand-oil desperately said that it's difficult to sell jets to India,and France already have abundance orders for rafales from other countries. If India orders more it's good or not ordering more also fine.
It's unfortunate that we are not ordering more fighter jets like rafales more , I was in an impression that GOI will place orders for atleast 36-54 more Rafales during Modi's visit. But chances are seems to be low to nil.
My feeling is that another order for 36 Rafales will happen , but MMRCA 2.0 Is dead .
Also the Development of ASTRA MK 2 And SFDR will make Rafales and Meteors look much more expensive
If SFDR can achieve Meteor' s Performance , then we have an excellent alternative to Meteor
Also there are Many long Range Air to Ground Munitions being Developed and Inducted , and some Israeli weapons like Rampage missile and Spice 2000 will be integrated with Tejas
The only issue is J 20 and if PAF gets J 10C