Ukraine - Russia Conflict

The Russians claim to have upgraded and produced 1500 tanks and 2500 armored vehicles this year.

Russia’s Ground Forces have received over 1,500 new and upgraded tanks in 2023, Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said.

"A total of 1,530 new and upgraded tanks were provided to the Ground Forces, as well as 2,518 infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers," he specified at an expanded board meeting of the Russian Defense Ministry.

Shoigu pointed out that the Borei A-class nuclear submarine Imperator Aleksandr III, armed with Bulava missiles, had entered service in the Russian Navy.

According to the defense chief, Russia’s Aerospace Forces have received 237 planes and helicopters, 86 units of anti-aircraft weapons and 67 radar stations since the beginning of the year. New training and combat aircraft have permitted increasing the flight time of cadets by 20%, Shoigu added. In addition, the defense minister said that the process of providing four Tu-160M strategic bombers to the strategic nuclear forces was nearly complete.

It's unclear how many of those are T-90Ms though. Of course, it's still unverified.
 
Hoofa it's raining flankers thanks to zee mighty Patriot
https://twitter.com/x/status/1739023352172269925
https://twitter.com/x/status/1739022478033228113
https://twitter.com/x/status/1739021879095001112
https://twitter.com/x/status/1739010502028607578

If SU-30 confirmed by Ukr MOD that makes 5 of the latest vadnik 4th gen flankers the Patriot has taken out....

61us63BR2FL._AC_UF894,1000_QL80_.jpg
 
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SU-30 has been confirmed
https://twitter.com/x/status/1739170224501297360

I don't think it was a Patriot but the SAMP/T that shot down the SU-30. The second Patriot battery has been on the prowl the south of Ukraine in the Kherson area. How ironic SU-30 got taken out "trying" to do SEAD mission. :unsure:

Wow 5 of the latest Russian flankers in one weekend. Soon Patriot and SAMP/T will have OTH capability with their F-16's.
 
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Arctic Wolf said:
Indeed.

Here you go:

Подписан закон, касающийся формирования федерального бюджета на 2024 год и на плановый период 2025 и 2026 годов

Президент подписал Федеральный закон «О внесении изменений в статьи 966 и 2201 Бюджетного кодекса Российской Федерации и отдельные законодательные акты Российской Федерации, приостановлении действия отдельных положений Бюджетного кодекса Российской Федерации и об установлении особенностей...
kremlin.ru kremlin.ru

As for the document, it is linked here - Бюджет для граждан2024–2026 - and the pdf is attached below as well. Not to mention, the SIPRI document more or less matches with official figures, there feel free to go through it as well.

Again, the data you're giving is for Jan-Sept 2023. The data I've cited is for Jan-Nov 2023.

From Jan-Sept 2023, revenues were RUB 19.734 trillion, and expenditure was RUB 21.432 trillion, giving a deficit of RUB 1.7 trillion.

From Jan-Nov 2023, revenues were RUB 25.962 trillion, and expenditure was RUB 26.841 trillion, giving a deficit of RUB 0.878 trillion.

Hence, the deficit was halved between September and November, owing to increasing revenues over the same period. Using the same conversion rate, the deficit would come to approx. US$8-9 billion. That's quite small, as a % of GDP.
Click to expand...
RUB 25.962tr works out to ~$280bn, with the projected expenditures you quoted being RUB 35-36tr or $380-390bn. At a GDP around $2tr, that works out to ~5% deficit.
Innominate said:
SU-30 has been confirmed
https://twitter.com/x/status/1739170224501297360

I don't think it was a Patriot but the SAMP/T that shot down the SU-30. The second Patriot battery has been on the prowl the south of Ukraine in the Kherson area. How ironic SU-30 got taken out "trying" to do SEAD mission. :unsure:

Wow 5 of the latest Russian flankers in one weekend. Soon Patriot and SAMP/T will have OTH capability with their F-16's.
Click to expand...
SEA - Suppression of Enemy Airforce.
 
BMD said:
RUB 25.962tr works out to ~$280bn, with the projected expenditures you quoted being RUB 35-36tr or $380-390bn. At a GDP around $2tr, that works out to ~5% deficit.
Click to expand...
Again, the RUB 25.962tr revenue is for Jan-Nov 2023; the RUB 36tr expenditure is for 2024.
The revenue projection for 2024 is RUB 35.065tr, out of which oil and gas revenue is RUB 11.5tr and non-oil and gas revenue is RUB RUB 23.561tr. That results in a projected deficit of RUB 1.595tr, which is approx. 0.9% of the projected GDP of RUB 179.956tr.
 
Ukrainian troops attacked the port in Feodosia with cruise missiles on the night of December 26, the head of Crimea Sergei Aksenov made a corresponding statement. It is not reported what object was attacked, but a powerful explosion occurred on the port territory; perhaps a military warehouse was attacked. According to the governor, the area of the city port has been cordoned off due to the incident. According to him, at this moment the detonation, it is not specified what exactly, has been stopped, and the fire that arose as a result of the attack has been localized. All relevant services are on site. According to the latest data, the Russian BDK "Novocherkassk" of Project 775 was damaged.


Read more about Russian Project 775 ships in the link.

 
Arctic Wolf said:
Again, the RUB 25.962tr revenue is for Jan-Nov 2023; the RUB 36tr expenditure is for 2024.
Click to expand...
So say $300bn for a full year, that still works out to 4-4.5% deficit at $390bn expenditure.
Arctic Wolf said:
The revenue projection for 2024 is RUB 35.065tr, out of which oil and gas revenue is RUB 11.5tr and non-oil and gas revenue is RUB RUB 23.561tr. That results in a projected deficit of RUB 1.595tr, which is approx. 0.9% of the projected GDP of RUB 179.956tr.
Click to expand...
Revenue won't magically grow by 30% in a single year, especially not give the ongoing war, with losing 6 fighter jets in 2 days and all.
 
BMD said:
So say $300bn for a full year, that still works out to 4-4.5% deficit at $390bn expenditure.
Click to expand...
Oh, again.
The $390bn expenditure is NOT FOR 2023. The estimated expenditure for (Jan-Nov) 2023 is RUB 26.841tr (approx. $290bn). That leaves Russia with anything between a deficit in the <1% of GDP range, or a surplus.
minfin.gov.ru

ÐÑедваÑиÑелÑÐ½Ð°Ñ Ð¾Ñенка иÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑедеÑалÑного бÑджеÑа за ÑнваÑÑ-ноÑбÑÑ 2023 года

minfin.gov.ru minfin.gov.ru
There's a table at the bottom; should answer most questions about 2023.

BMD said:
Revenue won't magically grow by 30% in a single year, especially not give the ongoing war, with losing 6 fighter jets in 2 days and all.
Click to expand...
Well, the point about the fighter jet losses notwithstanding, it's fair to be skeptical of the growth projections.
But,
given the revenue breakup in my previous replies, Russian officials expect to rely increasingly on non-oil and gas revenues. The budget assumes a growth of approx. 19% in non-oil and gas revenues. Which, when compared to the 25.6% increase between 2022 and 2023, isn't that outlandish. And in case, you're curious, it was driven by an increase in VAT (+22.8%) and income taxes (+12.2%).

The budget also assumes oil and gas revenues to return to levels similar to 2022 (RUB 10.655tr in 2022 vs RUB 11.5tr in 2024). These combined result in a roughly 27% increase in revenue.

Oil and gas revenues fell by over 22% in 2023; this could also cause a base effect on revenue growth.


BMD said:
6 fighter jets and a warship in 3 days. @Artic Wolf - Good luck budgeting that.
Click to expand...
That isn't what the budget post was about, but sure, lets wait for the expenditure estimates for the initial months of next year then.
 
"Today, in the presence of Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov, we signed some important agreements pertaining to future units of the Kudankulam Nuclear Project," Jaishankar said at a gathering with the Indian community in Moscow on Tuesday.

Some more reactors from Russia.

2 are operational, 4 more are already under construction. So this must be a deal for 6 more.

Interesting that it went through during the war. Could be a way for India to counterbalance the US and their Pannun shenanigans. The 2+2 meeting in November must not have gone well. Or perhaps there's no link, just business as usual.

GE claims they are facing some supply chain issues as they increase F404 production to meet both IAF and USAF requirements for LCA and T-7.
 
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